Pierre Nouvellet

This short lecture explores the methodologies to produce short term projections of incidence based on estimated transmissibility of a pathogen. It covers various aspects around projections, forecasting and predictions. The example of the dynamics of Ebola is used. Slides PDF slides (click the image below) PPTX slides (click the image below) About this document Contributors Pierre Nouvellet: initial version Contributions are welcome via pull requests. ...

This practical aims to illustrate the basics of vector borne disease (VBD) modelling using R, with an emphasis on how the methods work. We will use a basic model for an arboviral infection as an example. In this practical we will begin by gaining some understanding of the components which contribute to $R_0$ and how potential interventions influence transmission. Later in the practical you will construct a model of Zika transmission to look at the effects of several parameters. ...

El objetivo de esta práctica es presentar los conceptos básicos del modelado de Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores o VBD (por sus siglas en inglés Vector Borne Disease) mediante el uso del programa R, con énfasis en el funcionamiento de los métodos; utilizando como ejemplo un modelo básico de infección por arbovirus. En esta práctica, se comenzará por comprender los componentes que contribuyen a $R_0$ y cómo las posibles intervenciones influyen en la transmisión. ...

This lecture is about Vector Borne Diseases (VBD) modelling. The aim is to gain a general understanding on the role of modelling on the main vector borne diseases, with special enphasis on Malaria, Chagas and Zika. Slides Click on the image below to access the slides: About this document Contributors Zulma Cucunuba & Pierre Nouvellet: initial version Contributions are welcome via pull requests. Legal stuff License: CC-BY Copyright: Zulma Cucunuba & Pierre Nouvellet, 2017

This short lecture gives a primer on how modelling can help inform public health response. It focuses on few examples where modelling has been used to integrate various types of information and help implement control or raise situational awarness. Slides Click on the image below to access the slides: About this document Contributors Pierre Nouvellet: initial version Contributions are welcome via pull requests. The source file can be found here. ...

This short lecture gives a primer in building compartmental models. It covers various aspects around epidemiological modelling such as flow diagrams, writing ordinary differential equations and reproduction number. The example of the dynamics of Ebola is used. Slides PDF slides (click the image below) PPTX slides (click the image below) About this document Contributors Pierre Nouvellet: initial version Contributions are welcome via pull requests. ...